Kasper M. Hansen

Department of Political Science

University of Copenhagen

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Research Project: CET - Causal Effects on Turnout – turnout in the 2009 and 2013 Danish municipal elections
Principal investigator Kasper M. Hansen, Funded by The Danish Council for Independent Research

We investigate why people vote applying a unique government records panel dataset of the actual turnout from the 2009 -2013 Danish municipal elections. We have now also included the European Election 2014 and the national general parliamentary election 2015 in the panel-dataset. The dataset will consist of almost all eligible voters across the elections. Beside actually validated turnout the dataset include detailed socio-demographics, family relationships and moving patterns.

Furthermore the project conduct a number of large Get-out-the-Vote (GOtV) field experiments set-out to increase turnout. These experiments are set up in order to evaluate the effect of such initiatives in a multi-party context with high turnout.

From the project a number of publications are available e.g.:

  • Bhatti, Yosef & Hansen, Kasper M. (2012) Leaving the Nest and the Social Act of Voting: Turnout among First-Time Voters. Journal of Elections, Public Opinion and Parties. 22(4):380-406.
  • Bhatti, Y.; Hansen, K.M. & Wass, H. (2012) The relationship between age and turnout: A roller-coaster ride. Electoral Studies. 31(3):588-593.
  • Bhatti, Y.; J. Elklit & K.M. Hansen (2013) ”Hvorfor faldt valgdeltagelsen?” pp. 61-79 in J. Elklit & U. Kjær (eds.) KV09: Analyser af kommunalvalget 2009. Odense: Syddansk Universitetsforlag.
  • Bhatti, Y.; Hansen, K.M. (2011) ”Valgdeltagelsen blandt danske unge”. pp. 123-137 in Valgretskommissionens. Demokrati for fremtiden – Valgretskommissionens betænkning om unges demokratiske engagement. Copenhagen: DUF - The Danish Youth Council.
  • Bhatti, Y.; Dahlgaard, J. O.; Hansen, J. H. & Hansen, K. M. (2015) Getting Out the Vote With Evaluative Thinking. American Journal of Evaluation. 36(3):389-400.

Research project: Opinion Formation in an Experimental Perspective
Principal investigator Kasper M. Hansen, Funded by the Danish Research Council

How does information and arguments shape the Danes’ political opinions?

Through opinion surveys the project assesses the stability of the citizens’ political opinion and how information and arguments influence the opinions expressed in the surveys. The project use split-sample surveys combined with survey experiments and discrete choice experiments on a representative national sample of Danish citizens (n=2,000). The issues include public services such as schools and opinion toward European Union and political ideology.

From the project a number of publications are available e.g.:

  • Hansen, K.M. & Bech, M. (2012) Forcing voters to choose by using discrete choice experiments to estimate political preferences. Working Paper no. 2012-3. Centre for Parties and Voting: Department of Political Science, University of Copenhagen.
  • Hansen, Kasper M. (2007) “The Sophisticated Public: The Effect of Competing Frames on public opinion”. Scandinavian Political Studies. Vol. 30, no. 3, pp. 377-396.
  • Hansen, Kasper M. (2007) ”The effects of incentives, interview length, and interviewer characteristics on response rates in a CATI-study”. International Journal Public Opinion Research. Vol. 19, no. 1, pp. 112-121.

Research project: OPEC - Online Panel of Electoral Campaigning
Principal investigator Kasper M. Hansen, Funded by the Danish Research Council

What kind of effect do the political campaigns have on the voters?

From 2001 to 2005 the Danish political parties’ political campaign spending increased with more than 30 % to around 100 millions DKR. The political campaigns exploit more and more resources, but the knowledge of their effect are very limited. Basically we have no idea whether the public and private money given to the parties and spend on campaign have any effect.

Through a large online panel of the voters (n=10,000) the movement during the campaign will be monitored. The survey will include split-sample experiment. Theoretically the project will develop the dominating American models of campaign effect to a multiparty system where political campaign on e.g. TV is forbidden.

From the project a number of publications are available e.g.:

  • Hansen, Kasper M. (2008) Hvordan påvirker valgkampen vælgerne?" pp. 149-162 in Kosiara-Pedersen, K. Kurrild-Klitgaard, P. (eds.) Partier og partisystemer i forandring: Festskrift til Lars Bille. Odense: Syddansk Universitetsforlag.
  • Hansen, K. M & Kosiara-Pedersen, K. (2015,Online early access) How campaigns polarize the electorate: Political polarization as an effect of the minimal effect theory within a multi-party system. Party Politics.
  • Hansen, K.M. & Kosiara-Pedersen, K. (eds.) (2014) Folketingsvalgkampen 2011 i perspektiv. København: DJØF-forlag.
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